College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Ball St. wins by over 17.5 points

24h volume
8,720
8,720 lifetime
Open interest
4,098
+4,098 over 24h
Spread
1¢
0 × 65.5k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 25¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%−5

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 25¢
Recent buying1% YES · 99% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢volNov 4, 3:38 AMNov 5, 3:30 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ball St. wins by more than 17.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
17.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-BALL18
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
59m ago1¢15bought no
1h ago3¢1bought no
1h ago3¢3bought no
2h ago1¢15bought no
2h ago3¢2bought no
2h ago2¢1bought no
2h ago3¢1bought no
2h ago1¢1bought no
2h ago1¢2bought no
2h ago7¢1bought yes
2h ago6¢1bought yes
2h ago5¢9.48bought no
2h ago5¢1bought no
2h ago8¢4bought yes
2h ago6¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.