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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Ball St. wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
96.5k
96.9k lifetime
Open interest
61.6k
Spread
5¢
200 × 703 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 95¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask16217¢
  • ask69416¢
  • ask23415¢
  • ask56514¢
  • ask30213¢
  • ask53212¢
  • ask29511¢
  • ask70310¢
spread5¢mid 7¢
  • bid2005¢
  • bid2204¢
  • bid1,1883¢
  • bid6982¢
  • bid2151¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ball St. wins by more than 2.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-BALL3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14s ago9¢1bought yes
14s ago10¢83bought yes
14s ago9¢148bought yes
14s ago9¢147bought yes
1m ago9¢3.13bought yes
4m ago3¢100bought no
4m ago3¢15bought no
4m ago3¢20bought no
4m ago3¢139bought no
4m ago5¢0.18bought no
4m ago5¢2bought no
6m ago6¢3,128bought yes
6m ago6¢1bought yes
6m ago6¢1bought yes
7m ago6¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.