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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Ball St. wins by over 7.5 points

24h volume
26.3k
26.8k lifetime
Open interest
14.1k
Spread
7¢
0 × 500 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 50¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 50¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4025¢
  • ask2323¢
  • ask1218¢
  • ask1,00016¢
  • ask1,90115¢
  • ask71114¢
  • ask25012¢
  • ask5005¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Ball St. wins by more than 7.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
    floor
    7.5
    ticker
    KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-BALL8
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    1m ago3¢500bought yes
    2m ago5¢75bought yes
    2m ago5¢188bought yes
    2m ago5¢188bought yes
    2m ago5¢281bought yes
    3m ago5¢94bought yes
    4m ago1¢9bought yes
    4m ago5¢6.25bought yes
    15m ago1¢1bought yes
    24m ago1¢2bought no
    24m ago1¢1bought no
    25m ago2¢1bought no
    25m ago2¢1bought no
    37m ago5¢12bought yes
    38m ago3¢0.01bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.