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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

UMass wins by over 16.5 points

24h volume
8,106
8,199 lifetime
Open interest
7,864
+7,862 over 30d
Spread
1¢
0 × 40 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 20¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%−17

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 20¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volNov 4, 1:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4025¢
  • ask124¢
  • ask1,00011¢
  • ask2,38010¢
  • ask5009¢
  • ask2507¢
  • ask2002¢
  • ask401¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If UMass wins by more than 16.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
    floor
    16.5
    ticker
    KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-MASS17
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    24m ago1¢43bought no
    24m ago1¢2bought no
    27m ago2¢300bought no
    27m ago2¢200bought no
    27m ago2¢100bought no
    27m ago4¢25bought no
    39m ago3¢0.01bought no
    43m ago10¢0.01bought yes
    43m ago8¢1.1bought yes
    55m ago5¢0.53bought no
    55m ago5¢1bought yes
    55m ago5¢1bought yes
    55m ago5¢0.43bought yes
    58m ago5¢0.02bought no
    58m ago3¢0.01bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.