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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

UMass wins by over 6.5 points

24h volume
67.2k
127.9k lifetime
Open interest
82.4k
+28.7k over 7d
Spread
2¢
300 × 1 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 82¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%

A YES contract costs 64¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 38¢

YES bid / ask
62¢ / 64¢
NO bid / ask
36¢ / 38¢
24h low 8¢24h high 82¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢70¢volNov 4, 6:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8676¢
  • ask29075¢
  • ask4374¢
  • ask28473¢
  • ask12672¢
  • ask269¢
  • ask10068¢
  • ask867¢
spread4¢mid 65¢
  • bid10263¢
  • bid262¢
  • bid12561¢
  • bid23060¢
  • bid1559¢
  • bid2258¢
  • bid25057¢
  • bid5056¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UMass wins by more than 6.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
6.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-MASS7
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25s ago58¢9.44bought no
25s ago58¢2bought no
26s ago64¢199bought yes
26s ago63¢100bought yes
26s ago64¢1bought yes
27s ago60¢5.81bought no
27s ago58¢25bought no
27s ago59¢2bought no
31s ago66¢2bought yes
31s ago66¢44bought yes
37s ago66¢100bought yes
37s ago66¢124bought yes
53s ago57¢18bought no
57s ago67¢200bought yes
57s ago68¢64bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.