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JP Morgan Chase new CEO ·closes in 113mo

Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase?

YES means Troy Rohrbaugh

24h volume
0
985 lifetime
Open interest
500
−7.46 over 30d
Spread
7¢
5 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
38%

A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
62%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 38¢
NO bid / ask
62¢ / 69¢
Recent buying58% YES · 42% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,11198¢
  • ask4797¢
  • ask3475¢
  • ask81974¢
  • ask4067¢
  • ask2250¢
  • ask541¢
  • ask50038¢
spread7¢mid 35¢
  • bid531¢
  • bid50030¢
  • bid3,1672¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Troy Rohrbaugh is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for JP Morgan Chase before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 8 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEWROLEJP-35DEC-TRO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22d ago38¢0.15bought yes
22d ago37¢5bought yes
27d ago30¢2.61bought no
27d ago31¢10bought no
1mo ago38¢13bought yes
1mo ago38¢44bought yes
1mo ago38¢31bought yes
1mo ago36¢5bought yes
2mo ago31¢186bought no
2mo ago32¢15bought no
2mo ago33¢0.98bought no
2mo ago38¢197bought yes
2mo ago37¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.