galdor.xyz
Admin
Oscar for Best Actor·closes in 16mo

Will Anthony Ippolito win Best Actor at the Oscars?

YES means Anthony Ippolito

24h volume
3,773
5,785 lifetime
Open interest
5,785
+3,773 over 24h
Spread
1¢
0 × 16.2k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 9:38 AMSep 21, 5:27 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1022¢
  • ask2,03021¢
  • ask620¢
  • ask1719¢
  • ask1318¢
  • ask23416¢
  • ask4512¢
  • ask16.2k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Anthony Ippolito has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 17 · 9:20 PM UTC
    closes
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXOSCARACTO-27-ANT
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 124¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 16 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    8h ago1¢2,338bought yes
    8h ago1¢935bought yes
    8h ago1¢500bought yes
    2d ago1¢724bought yes
    2d ago1¢552bought yes
    2d ago1¢383bought yes
    2d ago1¢9bought yes
    3d ago1¢32bought no
    3d ago1¢26bought no
    3d ago1¢2bought no
    3d ago1¢11bought no
    3d ago1¢8.68bought no
    3d ago1¢0.24bought no
    3d ago1¢20bought no
    3d ago2¢234bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.