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Oscar for Best Actor·closes in 16mo

Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the Oscars?

YES means Matt Damon

24h volume
2,146
135.4k lifetime
Open interest
82.3k
Spread
1¢
37 × 18 at the touch
24h range
26¢ – 29¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%

A YES contract costs 28¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 73¢

YES bid / ask
27¢ / 28¢
NO bid / ask
72¢ / 73¢
24h low 26¢24h high 29¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3936¢
  • ask6335¢
  • ask1,03734¢
  • ask46533¢
  • ask532¢
  • ask2,43430¢
  • ask11629¢
  • ask1828¢
spread1¢mid 28¢
  • bid3727¢
  • bid9126¢
  • bid1,56325¢
  • bid4024¢
  • bid36123¢
  • bid4922¢
  • bid68821¢
  • bid1,00720¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Matt Damon has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 7 · 4:25 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARACTO-27-MATT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 124¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago27¢7bought no
1h ago27¢1.07bought no
2h ago27¢4bought no
2h ago27¢1bought no
2h ago27¢1bought no
2h ago28¢24bought yes
2h ago26¢3.15bought no
2h ago26¢1.89bought no
2h ago26¢0.95bought no
3h ago27¢110bought yes
3h ago27¢500bought yes
3h ago27¢418bought yes
3h ago27¢1.25bought yes
3h ago27¢5.15bought yes
4h ago27¢18bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.