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Oscar for Best Actor·closes in 16mo

Will Robert Pattison win Best Actor at the Oscars?

YES means Robert Pattison

24h volume
4,507
73.0k lifetime
Open interest
58.7k
+58.7k over 90d
Spread
2¢
80 × 26 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 7¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%−2

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 96¢
24h low 4¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volAug 5Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4413¢
  • ask38112¢
  • ask3011¢
  • ask1710¢
  • ask229¢
  • ask258¢
  • ask5737¢
  • ask266¢
spread2¢mid 5¢
  • bid804¢
  • bid2123¢
  • bid4442¢
  • bid4951¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Robert Pattison has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 4 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARACTO-27-ROB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 124¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago5¢7bought no
1h ago5¢1.07bought no
2h ago5¢4bought no
2h ago5¢1bought no
2h ago5¢1bought no
3h ago6¢13bought yes
3h ago6¢9.77bought yes
3h ago6¢31bought yes
3h ago6¢19bought yes
3h ago6¢10bought yes
3h ago7¢262bought yes
4h ago5¢469bought yes
7h ago5¢10bought no
7h ago5¢14bought no
7h ago6¢9bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.