Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?
YES means The Black Ball
- 24h volume
- 795
- 4,924 lifetime
- Open interest
- 4,073
- +2,898 over 30d
- Spread
- 2¢
- 0.09 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- 18¢ – 61¢
A YES contract costs 27¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 75¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If The Black Ball has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
- opened
- Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXOSCARASPLAY-27-BLA
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 173¢).
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.