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Best Original Screenplay·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations?

YES means Digger

24h volume
0
6,902 lifetime
Open interest
1,981
Spread
4¢
1.95 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 84¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6.5975¢
  • ask1572¢
  • ask21260¢
  • ask28558¢
  • ask13557¢
  • ask256¢
  • ask20021¢
  • ask520¢
spread4¢mid 18¢
  • bid1.9516¢
  • bid1515¢
  • bid20014¢
  • bid433¢
  • bid4432¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Digger has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMSPLAY-27-DIG
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago21¢2.28bought yes
1d ago55¢1.95bought yes
1d ago16¢200bought yes
1d ago14¢66bought yes
1d ago8¢31bought no
1d ago43¢200bought no
1d ago49¢200bought no
1d ago50¢3bought no
5d ago57¢3bought yes
7d ago58¢5.02bought yes
7d ago59¢15bought yes
13d ago59¢98bought yes
13d ago59¢232bought yes
17d ago54¢121bought no
23d ago54¢50bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.