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Best Original Screenplay·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations?

YES means The Invite

24h volume
0
9,734 lifetime
Open interest
2,844
+23 over 7d
Spread
5¢
448 × 37 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 98¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask565¢
  • ask1,99063¢
  • ask50142¢
  • ask49035¢
  • ask20012¢
  • ask9739¢
  • ask58¢
  • ask377¢
spread5¢mid 4¢
  • bid4482¢
  • bid1,0731¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Invite has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
May 28 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMSPLAY-27-INV
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago8¢23bought yes
8d ago8¢15bought yes
8d ago9¢29bought yes
9d ago3¢15bought no
9d ago9¢15bought yes
14d ago10¢19bought yes
16d ago8¢4.2bought yes
16d ago10¢138bought yes
17d ago5¢14bought no
17d ago5¢1bought no
17d ago8¢15bought yes
17d ago6¢0.01bought no
17d ago6¢132bought no
17d ago6¢20bought no
18d ago12¢7.84bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.