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Best Original Screenplay·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations?

YES means Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

24h volume
0
891 lifetime
Open interest
416
−80 over 30d
Spread
9¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 88¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 23Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15999¢
  • ask5.5292¢
  • ask1889¢
  • ask79488¢
  • ask25287¢
  • ask20022¢
  • ask521¢
spread9¢mid 16¢
  • bid20012¢
  • bid3582¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
May 20 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMSPLAY-27-TEE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
24d ago13¢6.66bought no
25d ago13¢53bought no
25d ago2¢4.25bought no
25d ago18¢20bought no
25d ago19¢1bought no
1mo ago21¢5bought yes
1mo ago21¢1.66bought yes
1mo ago20¢5bought yes
1mo ago21¢9.02bought yes
2mo ago19¢100bought yes
2mo ago18¢5bought yes
2mo ago19¢6bought yes
2mo ago18¢48bought yes
2mo ago17¢5bought yes
2mo ago18¢0.52bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.