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Best Original Screenplay·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations?

YES means Wild Horse Nine

24h volume
2
5,767 lifetime
Open interest
2,368
+348 over 30d
Spread
5¢
97 × 22 at the touch
24h range
75¢ – 87¢
46 recent trades
Chance of YES
87%+5

A YES contract costs 87¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
13%

costs 18¢

YES bid / ask
82¢ / 87¢
NO bid / ask
13¢ / 18¢
24h low 75¢24h high 87¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15099¢
  • ask39998¢
  • ask3997¢
  • ask1696¢
  • ask20088¢
  • ask2287¢
spread5¢mid 85¢
  • bid9782¢
  • bid20078¢
  • bid1565¢
  • bid2959¢
  • bid4758¢
  • bid9255¢
  • bid50054¢
  • bid1,05646¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Wild Horse Nine has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMSPLAY-27-WIL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 46 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11h ago87¢2bought yes
5d ago82¢23bought no
7d ago83¢80bought yes
7d ago83¢5.95bought yes
7d ago83¢60bought yes
8d ago83¢11bought yes
8d ago83¢19bought yes
8d ago83¢5.95bought yes
8d ago83¢2.44bought yes
8d ago83¢1.19bought yes
8d ago82¢1.18bought yes
8d ago83¢1.19bought yes
9d ago83¢125bought yes
16d ago84¢5bought yes
18d ago79¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.