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Oscar for Best Picture·closes in 16mo

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

YES means The Odyssey

24h volume
17.0k
1.70M lifetime
Open interest
779.0k
+53.5k over 7d
Spread
1¢
524 × 6,223 at the touch
24h range
47¢ – 52¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
47%−4

A YES contract costs 48¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
53%

costs 53¢

YES bid / ask
47¢ / 48¢
NO bid / ask
52¢ / 53¢
24h low 47¢24h high 52¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
45¢50¢55¢60¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,57955¢
  • ask2,86454¢
  • ask4,23953¢
  • ask2,14152¢
  • ask1,03851¢
  • ask78350¢
  • ask11.4k49¢
  • ask6,22348¢
spread1¢mid 48¢
  • bid52447¢
  • bid2,73446¢
  • bid10.5k45¢
  • bid2,06244¢
  • bid45943¢
  • bid1,55042¢
  • bid2,55441¢
  • bid1,18340¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Odyssey has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARPIC-27-ODY
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 136¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago47¢0.29bought no
1m ago47¢2.72bought no
31m ago48¢10bought yes
33m ago48¢10bought yes
41m ago47¢10bought no
41m ago47¢9.76bought no
44m ago47¢50bought no
45m ago48¢2.01bought yes
49m ago48¢40bought yes
52m ago48¢10bought yes
55m ago48¢55bought yes
56m ago48¢50bought yes
56m ago48¢200bought yes
57m ago48¢50bought yes
1h ago47¢2.01bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.