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Oscar for Best Supporting Actor·closes in 16mo

Will John Leguizamo win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

YES means John Leguizamo

24h volume
45
9,110 lifetime
Open interest
6,184
Spread
4¢
99 × 5 at the touch
24h range
14¢ – 18¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 87¢
24h low 14¢24h high 18¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If John Leguizamo has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 6 · 6:20 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARSUPACTO-27-JOHN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 165¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15h ago18¢16bought yes
18h ago14¢15bought no
18h ago15¢15bought no
1d ago18¢43bought yes
1d ago10¢4.95bought no
1d ago18¢4.95bought yes
2d ago18¢79bought yes
2d ago18¢5.25bought yes
3d ago17¢29bought yes
3d ago18¢130bought yes
4d ago17¢44bought yes
4d ago16¢600bought yes
4d ago16¢200bought yes
5d ago16¢30bought yes
5d ago17¢445bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.