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Oscar for Best Supporting Actor·closes in 16mo

Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

YES means Sam Rockwell

24h volume
47
5,139 lifetime
Open interest
4,257
+2,470 over 30d
Spread
2¢
1 × 800 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 4¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 98¢
24h low 4¢24h high 4¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask31536¢
  • ask1635¢
  • ask15015¢
  • ask23211¢
  • ask19210¢
  • ask8967¢
  • ask15¢
  • ask8004¢
spread2¢mid 3¢
  • bid12¢
  • bid71¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sam Rockwell has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 11 · 6:55 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARSUPACTO-27-SAM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 161¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago4¢23bought yes
7h ago4¢23bought yes
2d ago4¢25bought yes
3d ago4¢23bought yes
3d ago4¢47bought yes
3d ago4¢1bought yes
4d ago4¢1bought yes
10d ago3¢156bought no
12d ago6¢200bought yes
12d ago5¢168bought yes
12d ago4¢24bought yes
13d ago4¢136bought yes
13d ago4¢450bought yes
15d ago8¢29bought no
15d ago8¢6bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.