Will Denzel Washington perform as the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022)?
YES means Denzel Washington
- 24h volume
- 0
- 1,522 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,446
- Spread
- 88¢
- 5 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 25 recent trades
A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 93¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask3598¢
- ask3.1296¢
- ask595¢
- bid57¢
- bid56¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Denzel Washington performs/ is announced as the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022), then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, Denzel Washington satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Denzel Washington is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022), regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Denzel Washington appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as the main protagonist in any official performance, showing, or release of the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022). Additional clarification(s): If the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022) is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Denzel Washington was officially announced in the main protagonist, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for the main protagonist (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Denzel Washington is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022) is cancelled or completes its run without Denzel Washington being announced or performing in the main protagonist, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for the main protagonist.
- opened
- May 30 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 2, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXPERFORMROLEBPANTHER-BP-DEN
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 25 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | 8¢ | 151 | bought yes |
| 6d ago | 8¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 8¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 26d ago | 63¢ | 2.28 | bought yes |
| 26d ago | 8¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 28d ago | 7¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 28d ago | 8¢ | 15 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 6¢ | 3.12 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 2¢ | 23 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 10¢ | 23 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 8¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 9¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 9¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 10¢ | 242 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.