Republican Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Candace Owens be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Candace Owens

24h volume
146
57.9k lifetime
Open interest
57.2k
Spread
0 × 1.48M at the touch
24h range
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,55520¢
  • ask21.0k19¢
  • ask9.3518¢
  • ask56810¢
  • ask4,444
  • ask1
  • ask61.1k
  • ask1.48M
spreadmid
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Candace Owens wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 26 · 7:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 10 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    4h ago146bought yes
    8d ago94bought yes
    19d ago33bought yes
    20d ago33bought yes
    22d ago33bought yes
    27d ago150bought yes
    1mo ago94bought yes
    1mo ago4.67bought yes
    2mo ago66bought yes
    2mo ago1,000bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.