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Republican Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Glenn Youngkin be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Glenn Youngkin

24h volume
233
1.10M lifetime
Open interest
921.8k
Spread
0¢
48.1k × 31.7k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%+0

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask27.5k2¢
  • ask4,4592¢
  • ask130.1k2¢
  • ask4281¢
  • ask6161¢
  • ask5.511¢
  • ask1,0001¢
  • ask31.7k1¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid48.1k1¢
  • bid11.1k1¢
  • bid1,4921¢
  • bid4,1161¢
  • bid5,6420¢
  • bid6,8960¢
  • bid360.5k0¢
  • bid10.07M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Glenn Youngkin wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 6, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMR-28-GY
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10h ago1¢66bought yes
12h ago1¢166bought yes
1d ago1¢539bought no
1d ago1¢2.96bought no
1d ago1¢3.22bought no
3d ago1¢3.28bought no
3d ago1¢6.72bought no
4d ago1¢94bought yes
5d ago1¢194bought no
5d ago1¢6.72bought no
5d ago1¢548bought no
6d ago1¢102bought yes
7d ago1¢102bought yes
7d ago1¢911bought yes
7d ago1¢700bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.