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Republican Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Spencer Pratt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Spencer Pratt

24h volume
0
328.6k lifetime
Open interest
328.6k
Spread
1¢
0 × 1.49M at the touch
24h range
–
28 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8,88822¢
  • ask2,01221¢
  • ask21.0k19¢
  • ask9.3515¢
  • ask937¢
  • ask16¢
  • ask30.4k2¢
  • ask1.49M1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Spencer Pratt wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 11 · 8:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXPRESNOMR-28-SPRA
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 96¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 28 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    17d ago1¢900bought yes
    17d ago1¢150bought yes
    17d ago1¢25.0kbought yes
    17d ago1¢11.1kbought yes
    17d ago1¢100bought yes
    17d ago1¢5,000bought yes
    17d ago1¢2,000bought yes
    17d ago1¢60.8kbought yes
    17d ago1¢2,000bought yes
    17d ago1¢5,000bought yes
    17d ago1¢25.0kbought yes
    17d ago1¢50.0kbought yes
    27d ago1¢9,352bought yes
    30d ago1¢94bought yes
    1mo ago1¢93bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.