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2028 Presidential election: exact outcome·closes in 28mo

Will Marco Rubio defeat Jon Ossoff in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee?

YES means Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff

24h volume
0
1,634 lifetime
Open interest
816
Spread
1¢
0 × 106 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying44% YES · 56% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10025¢
  • ask2523¢
  • ask70921¢
  • ask10020¢
  • ask5010¢
  • ask2256¢
  • ask255¢
  • ask1061¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM), Presidential Winner (PRESPERSON). All conditions must be satisfied the 2028 presidential election.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Apr 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 20, 2029 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JOSSMRUBR
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 15 trades, 44% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    6d ago1¢94bought yes
    19d ago1¢100bought no
    19d ago1¢200bought no
    20d ago3¢200bought yes
    21d ago1¢205bought no
    26d ago3¢100bought yes
    1mo ago3¢56bought yes
    1mo ago3¢44bought yes
    1mo ago2¢25bought yes
    1mo ago2¢1bought yes
    1mo ago3¢74bought yes
    1mo ago1¢31bought no
    1mo ago1¢50bought no
    1mo ago1¢36bought no
    1mo ago1¢133bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.