Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Kamala Harris

24h volume
1,105
2.74M lifetime
Open interest
2.03M
Spread
1.11 × 9,913 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 4¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%0

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 96¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kamala Harris is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 10, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-KHAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago10bought yes
2h ago10bought yes
2h ago10bought yes
2h ago87bought yes
3h ago33bought no
3h ago467bought no
3h ago30bought no
4h ago3.11bought no
5h ago21bought no
6h ago37bought no
6h ago9.11bought no
7h ago320bought yes
9h ago41bought no
17h ago27bought no
1d ago488bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.