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Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Tulsi Gabbard

24h volume
370
2.01M lifetime
Open interest
1.69M
+384.6k over 90d
Spread
0¢
5,109 × 2,160 at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 0¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 0¢24h high 0¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,1002¢
  • ask9001¢
  • ask541¢
  • ask103.0k1¢
  • ask17.9k1¢
  • ask38.7k1¢
  • ask15.3k1¢
  • ask2,1601¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid5,1090¢
  • bid15.3k0¢
  • bid57.7k0¢
  • bid1.02M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tulsi Gabbard is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 10, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-TGAB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 95¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago0¢161bought no
7h ago0¢116bought no
13h ago0¢93bought no
1d ago0¢935bought no
3d ago1¢1,680bought yes
4d ago0¢10bought no
4d ago1¢4.08bought no
4d ago0¢496bought no
4d ago0¢0.37bought no
4d ago0¢262bought no
4d ago1¢3.19bought no
5d ago1¢199bought yes
5d ago1¢565bought yes
7d ago1¢18bought yes
7d ago1¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.