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Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?·closes in 28mo

Will Amy Klobuchar win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?

YES means Amy Klobuchar

24h volume
0
6,399 lifetime
Open interest
6,119
+0 over 24h
Spread
2¢
750 × 590 at the touch
24h range
–
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 6:46 AMSep 21, 6:43 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00010¢
  • ask1,0007¢
  • ask1,2346¢
  • ask1,0004¢
  • ask1,0754¢
  • ask2003¢
  • ask1,0003¢
  • ask5902¢
spread2¢mid 1¢
  • bid7500¢
  • bid1,0430¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Amy Klobuchar wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. For referendums, "Yes" and "No" are the options. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) is the winner. Markets resolve based on official results, not exit polls or projections. If elections are postponed beyond the expiration date, markets resolve to No. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 25, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSENATEDEMLEAD-28JAN01-AKLO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 110¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago1¢15bought no
1mo ago1¢81bought no
1mo ago1¢23bought no
1mo ago1¢741bought no
2mo ago2¢1bought yes
2mo ago2¢22bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.