Will Base launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?
YES means Base
- 24h volume
- 38
- 6,413 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,367
- Spread
- 7¢
- 69 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- 8¢ – 15¢
A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 97¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Base launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.
- Arbiscan
- Axios
- Base Explorer
- Binance Chain Explorer
- Bloomberg News
- Coinbase
- CoinDesk
- CoinGecko
- CoinMarketCap
- CoinTelegraph
- Decrypt
- DeFi Llama
- Etherscan
- Kraken
- major cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance
- official blockchain explorers for the relevant networks
- OKX
- Polygonscan
- project
- Reuters
- Solscan
- the Associated Press
- The Block
- The Information
- The New York Times
- The Wall Street Journal
- opened
- Jan 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 31 · 6:59 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-BASE
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.