galdor.xyz
Admin
Who will launch a token this year? ·closes in 3mo

Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Exponent

24h volume
4.24
3,981 lifetime
Open interest
674
−0.12 over 24h
Spread
6¢
5 × 9.16 at the touch
24h range
23¢ – 24¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
24%+7

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
76%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 82¢
24h low 23¢24h high 24¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 20, 7:06 AMSep 21, 5:13 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask78170¢
  • ask43069¢
  • ask4668¢
  • ask58867¢
  • ask7266¢
  • ask16228¢
  • ask20025¢
  • ask9.1624¢
spread6¢mid 21¢
  • bid518¢
  • bid20017¢
  • bid545¢
  • bid2001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Exponent launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 6:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-EXPO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago24¢0.12bought yes
8h ago23¢4.12bought yes
5d ago17¢19bought no
5d ago18¢5bought no
5d ago17¢1bought no
6d ago18¢4bought no
6d ago17¢21bought no
6d ago18¢1bought no
7d ago18¢3.4bought no
8d ago26¢0.15bought yes
8d ago18¢0.15bought no
9d ago24¢10bought yes
9d ago25¢9.36bought yes
11d ago5¢0.88bought no
11d ago18¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.