Who will launch a token this year? ·closes in 3mo

Will Fomo launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Fomo

24h volume: 1.06; 6,983 lifetime
Open interest: 2,382; −357 over 30d
Spread: 6¢; 5 × 3.94 at the touch
24h range: 7¢ – 40¢

Chance of YES

15%+3

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

85%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask

12¢ / 18¢

NO bid / ask

82¢ / 88¢

24h low 7¢24h high 40¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask8766¢
ask1,51061¢
ask20050¢
ask20047¢
ask1,30546¢
ask4245¢
ask20019¢
ask3.9418¢

spread6¢mid 15¢

bid512¢
bid20011¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Fomo launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.

opened: Jan 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Dec 31 · 6:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker: KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-FOMO

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.