Who will launch a token this year? ·closes in 2mo

Will Ostium launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Ostium

24h volume
115
6,427 lifetime
Open interest
1,242
+96 over 7d
Spread
4¢
32 × 32 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 14¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%+7

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 90¢
24h low 12¢24h high 14¢
Recent buying28% YES · 72% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask46865¢
  • ask3664¢
  • ask1,37761¢
  • ask459¢
  • ask5050¢
  • ask70449¢
  • ask20015¢
  • ask3214¢
spread4¢mid 12¢
  • bid3210¢
  • bid49¢
  • bid578¢
  • bid2117¢
  • bid4091¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ostium launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.

opened
Jan 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 6:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-OSTI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 28% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago14¢2.08bought yes
2h ago13¢5bought yes
6h ago12¢4.66bought yes
6h ago13¢65bought yes
6h ago12¢3bought yes
7h ago13¢11bought yes
7h ago14¢22bought yes
7h ago13¢1bought yes
7d ago11¢0.22bought no
7d ago11¢1bought no
7d ago9¢1.65bought no
7d ago11¢12bought no
7d ago7¢29bought no
7d ago8¢12bought no
7d ago8¢5.15bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.