Who will launch a token this year? ·closes in 2mo

Will Rabby launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Rabby

24h volume
0
6,145 lifetime
Open interest
1,314
+564 over 90d
Spread
4¢
5 × 56 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 96¢
Recent buying28% YES · 72% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 7Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4.1272¢
  • ask43661¢
  • ask2,30360¢
  • ask42658¢
  • ask20011¢
  • ask1,00110¢
  • ask8.059¢
  • ask568¢
spread4¢mid 6¢
  • bid54¢
  • bid2003¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rabby launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.

opened
Jan 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 6:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-RABB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 28% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago4¢5bought no
11d ago4¢45bought no
11d ago5¢50bought no
11d ago9¢157bought no
11d ago10¢50bought no
11d ago11¢6bought yes
11d ago11¢1bought yes
11d ago11¢200bought yes
16d ago3¢4bought no
17d ago14¢1bought no
17d ago1¢10bought no
17d ago18¢10bought no
17d ago3¢1bought no
17d ago3¢0.05bought no
17d ago3¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.