Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029?
YES means Yes
- 24h volume
- 5
- 21.0k lifetime
- Open interest
- 10.2k
- Spread
- 15¢
- 96 × 13 at the touch
- 24h range
- 70¢ – 70¢
A YES contract costs 84¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 31¢
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Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
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How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation. As of issuance, qualifying names include: Melania Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, Jared Kushner, Eric Trump, Lara Trump, Tiffany Trump, Michael Boulos, Barron Trump, Elizabeth Trump Grau, James Walter Grau. Immediate family includes spouses, children, and siblings.
- opened
- Oct 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXTRUMPPARDONFAMILY-29JAN20
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will the Trump family be pardoned?.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.