Who will Trump pardon?·closes in 28mo

Will Jose Muyet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

YES means Jose Muyet

24h volume: 0; 1,424 lifetime
Open interest: 1,305; +0 over 30d
Spread: 11¢; 5 × 186 at the touch
24h range: –; 2 recent trades

Chance of YES

13%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

87%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask

2¢ / 13¢

NO bid / ask

87¢ / 98¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,00096¢
ask1,66686¢
ask29761¢
ask74958¢
ask59857¢
ask26156¢
ask5445¢
ask18613¢

spread11¢mid 8¢

bid52¢
bid1,0002¢
bid2101¢
bid3001¢
bid2,0000¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jose Muyet has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.

Settlement sources

opened: Nov 18, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMUY

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
18d ago	13¢	0.72	bought yes
2mo ago	12¢	1.96	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.