galdor.xyz
Admin
Who will Trump pardon?·closes in 28mo

Will Todd Blanche receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

YES means Todd Blanche

24h volume
8.19
3,344 lifetime
Open interest
2,802
+0 over 24h
Spread
2¢
10 × 0.05 at the touch
24h range
35¢ – 35¢
29 recent trades
Chance of YES
35%

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
65%

costs 67¢

YES bid / ask
33¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 67¢
24h low 35¢24h high 35¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1275¢
  • ask2273¢
  • ask46072¢
  • ask91871¢
  • ask66968¢
  • ask667¢
  • ask2236¢
  • ask0.0535¢
spread2¢mid 34¢
  • bid1033¢
  • bid1828¢
  • bid3015¢
  • bid1014¢
  • bid24111¢
  • bid10.0k10¢
  • bid5597¢
  • bid226¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Todd Blanche has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 8 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TBLA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 29 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago35¢8.19bought yes
10d ago35¢14bought yes
10d ago34¢16bought yes
17d ago34¢2.81bought yes
18d ago34¢2.81bought yes
18d ago34¢0.14bought yes
1mo ago40¢10bought no
1mo ago40¢49bought no
1mo ago33¢500bought no
1mo ago15¢25bought no
1mo ago40¢1.36bought yes
1mo ago40¢1.19bought yes
1mo ago39¢2.45bought yes
1mo ago10¢327bought no
1mo ago34¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.