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UEFA European Championship·closes in 23mo

Will Spain win the 2028 UEFA Euros?

YES means Spain

24h volume
0
3,079 lifetime
Open interest
1,842
+8.62 over 7d
Spread
4¢
1,000 × 450 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 83¢
Recent buying47% YES · 53% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
15¢20¢25¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8,97844¢
  • ask5043¢
  • ask9036¢
  • ask15032¢
  • ask50027¢
  • ask1,11126¢
  • ask1,06525¢
  • ask45021¢
spread4¢mid 19¢
  • bid1,00017¢
  • bid7216¢
  • bid5,09215¢
  • bid1,45013¢
  • bid3,50012¢
  • bid6,00311¢
  • bid11210¢
  • bid1,0557¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spain is the 2028 UEFA European Championship champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 15, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUEFAEURO-28-ESP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 111¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 47% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago17¢8.62bought no
5d ago22¢8.62bought yes
7d ago19¢119bought no
7d ago18¢45bought no
9d ago18¢115bought no
12d ago24¢234bought yes
12d ago24¢1bought yes
12d ago24¢11bought yes
14d ago24¢59bought yes
18d ago21¢1.4bought no
21d ago24¢40bought yes
23d ago21¢33bought no
24d ago24¢80bought yes
24d ago24¢27bought yes
24d ago24¢90bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.