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UEFA European Championship·closes in 23mo

Will France win the 2028 UEFA Euros?

YES means France

24h volume
0
3,429 lifetime
Open interest
2,264
+2,264 over 90d
Spread
4¢
1,000 × 557 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask
15¢ / 19¢
NO bid / ask
81¢ / 85¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volJul 20Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5143¢
  • ask9034¢
  • ask95028¢
  • ask20025¢
  • ask10023¢
  • ask1,00022¢
  • ask11421¢
  • ask55719¢
spread4¢mid 17¢
  • bid1,00015¢
  • bid22914¢
  • bid50013¢
  • bid5111¢
  • bid10.9k10¢
  • bid3,7009¢
  • bid1,2857¢
  • bid5,0886¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If France is the 2028 UEFA European Championship champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 15, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUEFAEURO-28-FRA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 111¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago15¢56bought no
9d ago19¢50bought yes
11d ago17¢641bought yes
11d ago17¢229bought yes
11d ago17¢11bought yes
14d ago14¢9.33bought yes
14d ago14¢224bought yes
15d ago14¢120bought yes
15d ago14¢191bought yes
28d ago17¢139bought yes
1mo ago17¢111bought yes
1mo ago17¢5.11bought yes
1mo ago17¢0.44bought yes
1mo ago16¢4bought no
1mo ago16¢62bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.