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UEFA European Championship·closes in 23mo

Will Italy win the 2028 UEFA Euros?

YES means Italy

24h volume
0
2,513 lifetime
Open interest
1,851
+1.56 over 30d
Spread
1¢
56 × 1,399 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 94¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 25Sep 12

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15.5k26¢
  • ask3,05224¢
  • ask5523¢
  • ask9022¢
  • ask17010¢
  • ask2,0009¢
  • ask3008¢
  • ask1,3997¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid566¢
  • bid1,1705¢
  • bid5512¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Italy is the 2028 UEFA European Championship champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 15, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUEFAEURO-28-ITA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 111¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19d ago6¢170bought yes
19d ago6¢1bought yes
19d ago6¢200bought yes
19d ago6¢17bought yes
22d ago6¢1.56bought yes
1mo ago6¢80bought yes
1mo ago6¢120bought yes
1mo ago5¢4bought no
1mo ago5¢62bought no
1mo ago5¢245bought no
1mo ago5¢643bought no
1mo ago5¢50bought no
2mo ago8¢50bought yes
2mo ago10¢34bought yes
2mo ago8¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.