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U.S. headline inflation at year end·closes in 17mo

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2027 be above 1.5%?

YES means Above 1.5%

24h volume
0
218 lifetime
Open interest
149
+0 over 7d
Spread
13¢
5 × 86 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
95%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
5%

costs 19¢

YES bid / ask
81¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 19¢
Recent buying35% YES · 65% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
80¢90¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8694¢
spread13¢mid 88¢
  • bid581¢
  • bid2080¢
  • bid479¢
  • bid3575¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The initially reported value for December 2027 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2027, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 29 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 8, 2028 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXUSCPIYEAR-28FEB01-T1.5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 35% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12d ago95¢1.04bought yes
26d ago85¢25bought no
26d ago86¢25bought no
26d ago86¢25bought no
1mo ago93¢4.46bought no
1mo ago93¢3.54bought no
1mo ago93¢7bought no
1mo ago93¢4bought no
1mo ago93¢0.08bought no
1mo ago93¢0.15bought no
1mo ago93¢0.23bought no
2mo ago90¢9.27bought no
2mo ago91¢27bought yes
2mo ago91¢0.4bought yes
2mo ago91¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.