U.S. headline inflation at year end·closes in 17mo

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2027 be above 3.0%?

YES means Above 3.0%

24h volume
14
747 lifetime
Open interest
357
+350 over 90d
Spread
38¢
5 × 400 at the touch
24h range
27¢ – 66¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%39

A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 72¢

YES bid / ask
28¢ / 66¢
NO bid / ask
34¢ / 72¢
24h low 27¢24h high 66¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volJul 30Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask19789¢
  • ask7,14688¢
  • ask6,50082¢
  • ask7081¢
  • ask20077¢
  • ask4975¢
  • ask1.8370¢
  • ask40066¢
spread38¢mid 47¢
  • bid528¢
  • bid6.6227¢
  • bid1824¢
  • bid2921¢
  • bid3020¢
  • bid1013¢
  • bid20012¢
  • bid50411¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The initially reported value for December 2027 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2027, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.

opened
Jul 29 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 8, 2028 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
3
ticker
KXUSCPIYEAR-28FEB01-T3.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16h ago27¢1.35bought no
16h ago28¢5bought no
16h ago66¢0.35bought yes
16h ago61¢5bought yes
16h ago60¢1bought yes
23h ago65¢1.5bought yes
1d ago66¢9.87bought yes
1d ago65¢5bought yes
1d ago66¢9.45bought yes
1d ago65¢15bought yes
1d ago65¢5bought yes
2d ago65¢2.5bought yes
2d ago65¢5bought yes
2d ago65¢0.5bought yes
2d ago65¢11bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.