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US Test scores in Reading·closes in 16mo

Will US test scores in Reading decline?

YES means No significant difference

24h volume
9.58
23.8k lifetime
Open interest
8,100
−1,092 over 90d
Spread
7¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 54¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
40%+3

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
60%

costs 68¢

YES bid / ask
32¢ / 39¢
NO bid / ask
61¢ / 68¢
24h low 3¢24h high 54¢
Recent buying10% YES · 90% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2176¢
  • ask2875¢
  • ask34771¢
  • ask6870¢
  • ask2567¢
  • ask4466¢
  • ask20040¢
  • ask539¢
spread7¢mid 36¢
  • bid20032¢
  • bid153¢
  • bid203¢
  • bid163¢
  • bid2,0472¢
  • bid3502¢
  • bid1,0002¢
  • bid2,5000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced No significant difference in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 31, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUSTESTSREADING-26-NSD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 109¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 10% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago40¢4.79bought yes
11h ago40¢4.79bought yes
5d ago37¢52bought yes
6d ago29¢4.1bought no
7d ago30¢10bought no
7d ago30¢5.12bought no
7d ago40¢4.77bought yes
7d ago3¢33bought no
7d ago11¢10bought no
8d ago40¢1.84bought yes
8d ago44¢0.5bought yes
8d ago40¢12bought yes
8d ago34¢200bought no
8d ago41¢1.17bought yes
8d ago34¢11bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.