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WHO WILL PERFORM AT THE SPHERE·closes in 16mo

Will Taylor Swift perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?

YES means Taylor Swift

24h volume
0
7,880 lifetime
Open interest
1,899
+0 over 24h
Spread
35¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 84¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢volSep 20, 7:12 AMSep 21, 3:40 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,41996¢
  • ask18992¢
  • ask56584¢
  • ask70183¢
  • ask24775¢
  • ask10054¢
  • ask552¢
  • ask551¢
spread35¢mid 34¢
  • bid516¢
  • bid9315¢
  • bid42814¢
  • bid127¢
  • bid486¢
  • bid3885¢
  • bid4,3714¢
  • bid1,0003¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Taylor Swift performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 19, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-TAY
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago17¢6.95bought no
3d ago18¢5bought no
25d ago24¢16bought yes
25d ago23¢3.21bought yes
1mo ago19¢2bought no
2mo ago24¢28bought yes
2mo ago19¢1.21bought no
2mo ago28¢244bought yes
2mo ago27¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.