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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Andy Beshear

24h volume
11
145.4k lifetime
Open interest
112.6k
+13.1k over 90d
Spread
1¢
124 × 18 at the touch
24h range
5¢ – 8¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%+1

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
24h low 5¢24h high 8¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.6k8¢
  • ask4,2408¢
  • ask988¢
  • ask1,7987¢
  • ask1477¢
  • ask5.157¢
  • ask106¢
  • ask186¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid1245¢
  • bid1,7355¢
  • bid3,0005¢
  • bid594¢
  • bid914¢
  • bid8644¢
  • bid254¢
  • bid1824¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Andy Beshear accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-AB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago6¢11bought yes
1d ago5¢10bought no
1d ago5¢11bought no
3d ago5¢1bought no
4d ago6¢1.37bought yes
4d ago6¢8.63bought yes
6d ago6¢25bought no
6d ago6¢17bought no
6d ago6¢25bought no
6d ago6¢71bought yes
6d ago6¢22bought yes
6d ago6¢100bought yes
6d ago6¢100bought yes
6d ago5¢13bought no
7d ago6¢26bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.