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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Elissa Slotkin be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Elissa Slotkin

24h volume
0
134.1k lifetime
Open interest
114.6k
Spread
2¢
4.32 × 102 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 91¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5030¢
  • ask4027¢
  • ask59524¢
  • ask2123¢
  • ask1822¢
  • ask713¢
  • ask11.6k12¢
  • ask10211¢
spread2¢mid 10¢
  • bid4.329¢
  • bid159¢
  • bid5.749¢
  • bid2.39¢
  • bid0.818¢
  • bid348¢
  • bid258¢
  • bid276¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Elissa Slotkin accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 21 · 1:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-ESLO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago11¢2.39bought yes
2d ago9¢4.27bought no
3d ago9¢0.23bought no
3d ago9¢0.39bought no
3d ago10¢4.38bought no
3d ago9¢0.78bought no
3d ago9¢3.58bought no
3d ago9¢0.06bought no
3d ago9¢0.02bought no
3d ago9¢42bought no
3d ago9¢0.04bought no
3d ago9¢1.74bought no
3d ago10¢414bought no
3d ago12¢39bought yes
4d ago12¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.