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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Jon Ossoff be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Jon Ossoff

24h volume
0
147.6k lifetime
Open interest
90.9k
+190 over 7d
Spread
1¢
159 × 19 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1197¢
  • ask7,9107¢
  • ask4,4407¢
  • ask266¢
  • ask16¢
  • ask166¢
  • ask7356¢
  • ask196¢
spread1¢mid 5¢
  • bid1595¢
  • bid8915¢
  • bid1045¢
  • bid7854¢
  • bid774¢
  • bid704¢
  • bid1954¢
  • bid1,0404¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Ossoff accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 21 · 1:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-JOSS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago5¢10bought no
3d ago6¢2.97bought yes
3d ago6¢6.03bought yes
4d ago6¢68bought yes
4d ago6¢3bought yes
4d ago6¢5.32bought yes
4d ago6¢6.03bought yes
4d ago6¢68bought yes
4d ago6¢5.76bought yes
4d ago6¢7.64bought yes
4d ago6¢1bought yes
4d ago6¢3.3bought yes
4d ago6¢2.46bought yes
4d ago6¢4.24bought yes
5d ago5¢5.25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.