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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Josh Shapiro

24h volume
6
93.8k lifetime
Open interest
63.3k
−6 over 24h
Spread
1¢
675 × 14 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%−1

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
24h low 2¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying74% YES · 26% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 5:04 AMSep 21, 4:20 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Josh Shapiro accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-JS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 74% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago2¢6bought no
1d ago4¢12bought yes
1d ago4¢4.89bought yes
1d ago4¢3.61bought yes
1d ago2¢50bought no
1d ago2¢52bought no
1d ago2¢99bought no
1d ago3¢1bought no
3d ago3¢4bought no
4d ago4¢3bought yes
4d ago4¢1,217bought yes
4d ago4¢16bought yes
4d ago4¢218bought yes
4d ago3¢15bought yes
4d ago4¢17bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.