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Democratic VP nom·closes in 26mo

Will James Talarico be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means James Talarico

24h volume
78
164.0k lifetime
Open interest
123.5k
+45.9k over 30d
Spread
2¢
4.72 × 4,276 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 5¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%+1

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 97¢
24h low 4¢24h high 5¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2213¢
  • ask2212¢
  • ask1010¢
  • ask139¢
  • ask258¢
  • ask1077¢
  • ask18.3k6¢
  • ask4,2765¢
spread2¢mid 4¢
  • bid4.723¢
  • bid222¢
  • bid5731¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If James Talarico accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 10 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-JTAL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago5¢29bought yes
2h ago4¢17bought yes
2h ago4¢32bought yes
2d ago4¢7bought yes
2d ago5¢79bought yes
2d ago4¢979bought yes
4d ago4¢2,343bought yes
5d ago4¢11bought yes
6d ago4¢41bought yes
6d ago4¢0.22bought yes
6d ago4¢68bought yes
6d ago4¢0.22bought yes
6d ago4¢166bought yes
6d ago4¢0.22bought yes
6d ago4¢166bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.