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KXVPRESNOMD·closes in 26mo

Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

YES means Pete Buttigieg

24h volume
81
143.5k lifetime
Open interest
102.2k
Spread
1¢
127 × 11 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 6¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%−1

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 94¢
24h low 6¢24h high 6¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask338¢
  • ask288¢
  • ask3,8338¢
  • ask408¢
  • ask2398¢
  • ask8.348¢
  • ask8958¢
  • ask117¢
spread1¢mid 7¢
  • bid1276¢
  • bid7546¢
  • bid876¢
  • bid1,0886¢
  • bid3.266¢
  • bid406¢
  • bid1.166¢
  • bid636¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Pete Buttigieg accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-PB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago6¢20bought no
11h ago6¢44bought no
11h ago6¢17bought no
1d ago8¢1.04bought yes
1d ago8¢1.27bought yes
1d ago8¢6.36bought yes
1d ago8¢51bought yes
1d ago8¢3.58bought yes
1d ago6¢10bought no
3d ago8¢3.64bought yes
3d ago8¢8.4bought yes
3d ago8¢13bought yes
3d ago8¢3.92bought yes
3d ago8¢3.35bought yes
3d ago8¢4.5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.