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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will England win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means England

24h volume
66
17.4k lifetime
Open interest
10.5k
+166 over 7d
Spread
1¢
268 × 686 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 7¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 94¢
24h low 7¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,01212¢
  • ask1,00011¢
  • ask7,4478¢
  • ask8,7188¢
  • ask808¢
  • ask8007¢
  • ask1077¢
  • ask6867¢
spread1¢mid 7¢
  • bid2687¢
  • bid3,4066¢
  • bid5616¢
  • bid5,6826¢
  • bid1,2005¢
  • bid3,0004¢
  • bid1681¢
  • bid1.99M1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If England is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-ENG
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago7¢66bought yes
3d ago7¢13bought yes
3d ago6¢106bought no
3d ago7¢113bought yes
3d ago7¢25bought yes
4d ago7¢52bought no
7d ago7¢26bought yes
7d ago7¢6bought yes
7d ago7¢54bought yes
7d ago7¢12bought yes
9d ago6¢87bought no
9d ago7¢25bought no
9d ago7¢20bought no
11d ago7¢13bought yes
11d ago7¢35bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.