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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Portugal win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Portugal

24h volume
3.44
20.5k lifetime
Open interest
19.5k
Spread
2¢
2,881 × 668 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 6¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%+1

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 96¢
24h low 6¢24h high 6¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1516¢
  • ask50013¢
  • ask50012¢
  • ask1,00011¢
  • ask4049¢
  • ask8,1346¢
  • ask1566¢
  • ask6686¢
spread2¢mid 5¢
  • bid2,8814¢
  • bid5,0004¢
  • bid7024¢
  • bid1502¢
  • bid5,0002¢
  • bid1432¢
  • bid100.0k2¢
  • bid1,6661¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portugal is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-POR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago6¢3.44bought yes
2d ago5¢79bought no
5d ago5¢41bought yes
5d ago5¢323bought yes
5d ago5¢92bought yes
5d ago5¢49bought yes
5d ago5¢92bought yes
5d ago5¢300bought yes
7d ago5¢0.01bought yes
7d ago6¢32bought yes
8d ago5¢9,249bought yes
8d ago4¢148bought yes
8d ago4¢1,000bought yes
8d ago4¢960bought yes
8d ago4¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.