galdor.xyz
Admin
World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will France win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means France

24h volume
243
59.7k lifetime
Open interest
32.2k
Spread
1¢
209 × 58 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20014¢
  • ask43114¢
  • ask51913¢
  • ask20013¢
  • ask1,02513¢
  • ask2,50013¢
  • ask15712¢
  • ask5812¢
spread1¢mid 12¢
  • bid20911¢
  • bid3,00010¢
  • bid5,20010¢
  • bid4,00010¢
  • bid1,2009¢
  • bid1586¢
  • bid2286¢
  • bid10.0k6¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If France is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-FRA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago11¢176bought no
5h ago11¢18bought no
5h ago12¢10bought yes
11h ago12¢39bought yes
1d ago11¢16bought no
1d ago11¢20bought no
1d ago11¢2.76bought no
2d ago12¢39bought yes
2d ago12¢39bought yes
2d ago12¢16bought yes
2d ago11¢70bought no
2d ago12¢7.78bought yes
2d ago12¢39bought yes
2d ago12¢182bought yes
2d ago12¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.