U.S. withdrawing from international organizations·closes in 28mo

Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?

YES means OECD

24h volume: 0; 1,034 lifetime
Open interest: 958; +0 over 7d
Spread: 5¢; 10 × 18 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

25%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

75%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask

16¢ / 21¢

NO bid / ask

79¢ / 84¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,00096¢
ask1,85887¢
ask88665¢
ask97564¢
ask29858¢
ask4657¢
ask30022¢
ask1821¢

spread5¢mid 19¢

bid1016¢
bid20015¢
bid304¢
bid434¢
bid132¢
bid1,0002¢
bid6251¢
bid1001¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the United States completely withdraws from OECD before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

opened: Feb 18, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXWITHDRAW-29-OECD

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.